The North American Multimodel Ensemble prediction experiment is described, and forecast quality and methods for accessing digital and graphical data from the model are discussed.
High-resolution global climate modeling holds the promise of capturing planetary-scale climate modes and small-scale (regional and sometimes extreme) features simultaneously, including their mutual interaction. This paper discusses a new state-of-the-art high-resolution Community Earth System Model (CESM) simulation that was performed with these goals in mind. The atmospheric component was at 0.25 grid spacing, and ocean component at 0.1 . One hundred years of ''present-day'' simulation were completed. Major results were that annual mean sea surface temperature (SST) in the equatorial Pacific and ElNiño Southern Oscillation variability were well simulated compared to standard resolution models. Tropical and southern Atlantic SST also had much reduced bias compared to previous versions of the model. In addition, the high resolution of the model enabled small-scale features of the climate system to be represented, such as air-sea interaction over ocean frontal zones, mesoscale systems generated by the Rockies, and Tropical Cyclones. Associated single component runs and standard resolution coupled runs are used to help attribute the strengths and weaknesses of the fully coupled run. The high-resolution run employed 23,404 cores, costing 250 thousand processor-hours per simulated year and made about two simulated years per day on the NCAR-Wyoming supercomputer ''Yellowstone.''
An overview is presented of the GLENS project, a community-wide effort enabling analyses of global and regional changes from stratospheric aerosol geoengineering in the presence of internal climate variability. CESM1(WACCM) STRATOSPHERIC AEROSOL GEOENGINEERING LARGE ENSEMBLE PROJECTSimone TilmeS, Jadwiga H. RicHTeR, Ben KRaviTz, douglaS g. macmaRTin, micHael J. millS, iSla R. SimpSon, anne S. glanville, JoHn T. FaSullo, adam S. pHillipS, Jean-FRancoiS lamaRque, JoSepH TRiBBia, Jim edwaRdS, SHeRi micKelSon, and SiddHaRTHa gHoSH S olar geoengineering using stratospheric sulfate aerosols has been discussed as a potential means of deliberately offsetting some of the effects of climate change (Crutzen 2006). Various model studies have demonstrated that reducing incoming solar radiation globally can offset the increase in global average surface temperature associated with increasing greenhouse gases (e.g., Kravitz et al. 2013). Despite the stabilization of global surface temperature, these simulations show significant changes in atmospheric conditions with global solar reductions or stratospheric sulfur or aerosol injections. Side effects in these simulations include "overcooling" of the tropics and "undercooling" of the poles, leading to continued Arctic summer sea ice loss (e.g., Moore et al. 2014;Tilmes et al. 2016). Additionally, the slowing of the hydrological cycle (e.g., Schmidt et al. 2012) and the potentially uneven cooling between the two hemispheres resulting from solar geoengineering can lead to shifts in precipitation patterns (Haywood et al. 2013; Jones et al. 2017) and reductions in monsoon precipitation (Tilmes et al. 2013). Many available model results to date are based on an artificial design intended to explore the impact of large forcing effects through global solar dimming. For other experiments, only a few ensemble members are performed, making it difficult to identify the robustness of regional climate effects.Simulations of stratospheric sulfate aerosol geoengineering inject sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) into the stratosphere that oxidizes to form sulfate aerosols or they use direct injections of sulfate aerosols. These experiments require model capabilities beyond those in solar reduction simulations. The stratospheric aerosol distribution resulting from such injections depends on the model's aerosol microphysical scheme, as well as interactions with chemical, dynamical, and radiative processes (Pitari et al. 2014;Mills et al. 2017). Aerosol size and sedimentation are increased with the injection amount and the efficiency of the sulfates to affect the top of the atmosphere radiative imbalance is reduced (Niemeier and Timmreck 2015;Kleinschmitt et al. 2017). The warming of the tropical stratosphere in response to the enhanced aerosol burden results in circulation changes in the stratosphere with potential effects 2361NOVEMBER 2018 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | on the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO; Aquila et al. 2014), as well as impacts on the tropospheric circulation (Richter et al. 2018). Chan...
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