Bottlenecks reduce the size of the gene pool within populations of all life forms with implications for their subsequent survival. Here, we examine the effects of bottlenecks on bacterial commensal‐pathogens during transmission between, and dissemination within, hosts. By reducing genetic diversity, bottlenecks may alter individual or population‐wide adaptive potential. A diverse range of hypermutable mechanisms have evolved in infectious agents that allow for rapid generation of genetic diversity in specific genomic loci as opposed to the variability arising from increased genome‐wide mutation rates. These localised hypermutable mechanisms include multi‐gene phase variation (PV) of outer membrane components, multi‐allele PV of restriction systems and recombination‐driven antigenic variation. We review selected experimental and theoretical (mathematical) models pertaining to the hypothesis that localised hypermutation (LH) compensates for fitness losses caused by bottlenecks and discuss whether bottlenecks have driven the evolution of hypermutable loci.
Rapid transmission, a critical contributory factor in outbreaks of invasive meningococcal disease, requires naïve populations of sufficient size and intermingling. We examined genomic variability and transmission dynamics in a student population subject to an 11-fold increase in carriage of a hypervirulent Neisseria meningitidis serogroup W ST-11 clone. Phylogenetic clusters, mutation and recombination rates were derived by bioinformatic analyses of whole-genome sequencing data. Transmission dynamics were determined by combining observed carriage rates, cluster sizes and distributions with simple SIS models. Between 9 and 15 genetically-distinct clusters were detected and associated with seven residential halls. Clusters had low mutation accumulation rates and infrequent recombination events. Modeling indicated that effective contacts decreased from 10 to 2 per day between the start and mid-point of the university term. Transmission rates fluctuated between 1 and 4% while the R(t) for carriage decreased from an initial rate of 47 to 1. Decreases in transmission values correlated with a rise in vaccine-induced immunity. Observed carriage dynamics could be mimicked by populations containing 20% of super spreaders with 2.3-fold higher effective contact rates. We conclude that spread of this hypervirulent ST-11 meningococcal clone depends on the levels of effective contacts and immunity rather than genomic variability. Additionally, we propose that super-spreaders enhance meningococcal transmission and that a 70% MenACWY immunization level is sufficient to retard, but not fully prevent, meningococcal spread in close-contact populations.
Neisseria meningitidis is a Gram-negative human commensal pathogen, with extensive phenotypic plasticity afforded by phase-variable (PV) gene expression. Phase variation is a stochastic switch in gene expression from an ON to an OFF state, mediated by localized hypermutation of simple sequence repeats (SSRs). Circulating N. meningitidis clones vary in propensity to cause disease, with some clonal complexes (ccs) classified as hypervirulent and others as carriage-associated. We examined the PV gene repertoires, or phasome, of these lineages in order to determine whether phase variation contributes to disease propensity. We analysed 3328 genomes representative of nine circulating meningococcal ccs with Phasome It , a tool that identifies PV genes by the presence of SSRs and homologous gene clusters. The presence, absence and functions of all identified PV gene clusters were confirmed by annotation or blast searches within the Neisseria PubMLST database. While no significant differences were detected in the number of PV genes or the core, conserved phasome content between hypervirulent and carriage lineages, individual ccs exhibited major variations in PV gene numbers. Phylogenetic clusters produced by phasome or core genome analyses were similar, indicating co-evolution of PV genes with the core genome. While conservation of PV clusters is high, with 76 % present in all meningococcal isolates, maintenance of an SSR is variable, ranging from conserved in all isolates to present only in a single cc, indicating differing evolutionary trajectories for each lineage. Diverse functional groups of PV genes were present across the meningococcal lineages; however, the majority directly or indirectly influence bacterial surface antigens and could impact on future vaccine development. Finally, we observe that meningococci have open pan phasomes, indicating ongoing evolution of PV gene content and a significant potential for adaptive changes in this clinically relevant genus.
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