The implementation and evaluation of malaria control programs would be greatly facilitated by new tools for the rapid assessment of malaria transmission intensity. Because acquisition and maintenance of antimalarial antibodies depend on exposure to malaria infection, such antibodies might be used as proxy measures of transmission intensity. We have compared the prevalence of IgG antibodies with three Plasmodium falciparum asexual stage antigens in individuals of all ages living at varying altitudes encompassing a range of transmission intensities from hyper-to hypoendemic in northeastern Tanzania, with alternative measures of transmission intensity. The prevalence of antibodies to merozoite surface protein-1 19 was significantly more closely correlated with altitude than either point-prevalence malaria parasitemia or single measures of hemoglobin concentration. Analysis of age-specific seroprevalence rates enabled differentiation of recent (seasonal) changes in transmission intensity from longer-term transmission trends and, using a mathematical model of the annual rate of seroconversion, estimation of the longevity of the antibody response. Thus, serological tools allow us to detect variations in malaria transmission over time. Such tools will be invaluable for monitoring trends in malaria endemicity and the effectiveness of malaria control programs.antibody ͉ Plasmodium falciparum ͉ transmission intensity ͉ altitude M alaria, especially Plasmodium falciparum, is a major cause of human morbidity and mortality in Africa but varies greatly in endemicity across the continent with consequent variation in levels of immunity and age-specific patterns of disease (1) and differing priorities for malaria control activities. Direct (i.e., entomological) measures of transmission intensity are expensive, time-consuming, and imprecise because of microheterogeneity of malaria transmission (2), especially in areas of low transmission. Proxy measures, such as climate-based models, have been shown to provide a good fit to empirical data at the regional or country level (3) but are generally less suited to making predictions of malaria endemicity at the level of individual communities (4). However, one-off estimates of parasite prevalence can also be misleading indicators of longterm transmission potential, because prevalence may vary markedly with season. For example, we have previously observed significant associations among malariometric parameters, altitude, and recent rainfall, but the absolute correlation between age-adjusted parasite prevalence (or mean hemoglobin concentration) and altitude was poor, with considerable variation among villages situated at similar altitudes (5). Serological parameters offer a theoretical advantage over parasite prevalence as a measure of endemicity, in that antibodies can persist for months or years after infection, thereby smoothing out the effects of seasonal or unstable malaria transmission. Serological markers have been suggested as indicators of malaria transmission dynamics (6), and ...

Serological markers were able to detect spatial variation in malaria transmission at the microepidemiological level, and they have the potential to form an effective method for spatial targeting of malaria control efforts.

The public health and economic consequences of Plasmodium falciparum malaria are once again regarded as priorities for global development. There has been much speculation on whether anthropogenic climate change is exacerbating the malaria problem, especially in areas of high altitude where P. falciparum transmission is limited by low temperature. The International Panel on Climate Change has concluded that there is likely to be a net extension in the distribution of malaria and an increase in incidence within this range. We investigated long-term meteorological trends in four high-altitude sites in East Africa, where increases in malaria have been reported in the past two decades. Here we show that temperature, rainfall, vapour pressure and the number of months suitable for P. falciparum transmission have not changed significantly during the past century or during the period of reported malaria resurgence. A high degree of temporal and spatial variation in the climate of East Africa suggests further that claimed associations between local malaria resurgences and regional changes in climate are overly simplistic.

Using linked national data in a geographic information system system, Sabine Gabrysch and colleagues investigate the effects of distance to care and level of care on women's use of health facilities for delivery in rural Zambia.

Background: Blood spots collected onto filter paper are an established and convenient source of antibodies for serological diagnosis and epidemiological surveys. Although recommendations for the storage and analysis of small molecule analytes in blood spots exist, there are no published systematic studies of the stability of antibodies under different storage conditions.