R on ne be rg er , K a t hr yn T un ya su vu na ko ol,

The AlphaFold Protein Structure Database (AlphaFold DB, https://alphafold.ebi.ac.uk) is an openly accessible, extensive database of high-accuracy protein-structure predictions. Powered by AlphaFold v2.0 of DeepMind, it has enabled an unprecedented expansion of the structural coverage of the known protein-sequence space. AlphaFold DB provides programmatic access to and interactive visualization of predicted atomic coordinates, per-residue and pairwise model-confidence estimates and predicted aligned errors. The initial release of AlphaFold DB contains over 360,000 predicted structures across 21 model-organism proteomes, which will soon be expanded to cover most of the (over 100 million) representative sequences from the UniRef90 data set.

While the vast majority of well-structured single protein chains can now be predicted to high accuracy due to the recent AlphaFold [1] model, the prediction of multi-chain protein complexes remains a challenge in many cases. In this work, we demonstrate that an AlphaFold model trained specifically for multimeric inputs of known stoichiometry, which we call AlphaFold-Multimer, significantly increases accuracy of predicted multimeric interfaces over input-adapted single-chain AlphaFold while maintaining high intra-chain accuracy. On a benchmark dataset of 17 heterodimer proteins without templates (introduced in [2]) we achieve at least medium accuracy (DockQ [3]≥0.49) on 14 targets and high accuracy (DockQ≥0.8) on 6 targets, compared to 9 targets of at least medium accuracy and 4 of high accuracy for the previous state of the art system (an AlphaFold-based system from [2]). We also predict structures for a large dataset of 4,433 recent protein complexes, from which we score all non-redundant interfaces with low template identity. For heteromeric interfaces we successfully predict the interface (DockQ≥0.23) in 67% of cases, and produce high accuracy predictions (DockQ≥0.8) in 23% of cases, an improvement of +25 and +11 percentage points over the flexible linker modification of AlphaFold [4] respectively. For homomeric interfaces we successfully predict the interface in 69% of cases, and produce high accuracy predictions in 34% of cases, an improvement of +5 percentage points in both instances.

Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are widely used to study protein motions at an atomic level of detail, but they have been limited to time scales shorter than those of many biologically critical conformational changes. We examined two fundamental processes in protein dynamics--protein folding and conformational change within the folded state--by means of extremely long all-atom MD simulations conducted on a special-purpose machine. Equilibrium simulations of a WW protein domain captured multiple folding and unfolding events that consistently follow a well-defined folding pathway; separate simulations of the protein's constituent substructures shed light on possible determinants of this pathway. A 1-millisecond simulation of the folded protein BPTI reveals a small number of structurally distinct conformational states whose reversible interconversion is slower than local relaxations within those states by a factor of more than 1000.

Protein structure prediction aims to determine the three-dimensional shape of a protein from its amino acid sequence 1. This problem is of fundamental importance to biology as the structure of a protein largely determines its function 2 but can be hard to determine experimentally. In recent years, considerable progress has been made by leveraging genetic information: analysing the co-variation of homologous sequences can allow one to infer which amino acid residues are in contact, which in turn can aid structure prediction 3. In this work, we show that we can train a neural network to accurately predict the distances between pairs of residues in a protein which convey more about structure than contact predictions. With this information we construct a potential of mean force 4 that can accurately describe the shape of a protein. We find that the resulting potential can be optimised by a simple gradient descent algorithm, to realise structures without the need for complex sampling procedures. The resulting system, named AlphaFold, has been shown to achieve high accuracy, even for sequences with relatively few homologous sequences. In the most recent Critical Assessment of Protein Structure Prediction 5 (CASP13), a blind assessment of the state of the field of protein structure prediction, AlphaFold created high-accuracy structures (with TM-scores † of 0.7 or higher) for 24 out of 43 free modelling domains whereas the next best method, using sampling and contact information, achieved such accuracy for only 14 out of 43 domains. AlphaFold represents a significant advance in protein structure prediction. We expect the increased accuracy of structure predictions for proteins to enable insights in understanding the function and malfunction of these proteins, especially in cases where no homologous proteins have been experimentally determined 7. Proteins are at the core of most biological processes. Since the function of a protein is dependent on its structure, understanding protein structure has been a grand challenge in biology for decades. While several experimental structure determination techniques have been developed † Template Modelling score 6 , between 0 and 1, measures the degree of match of the overall (backbone) shape of a proposed structure to a native structure.