DNA-based analysis is integral to missing person identification cases. When direct references are not available, indirect relative references can be used to identify missing persons by kinship analysis. Generally, more reference relatives render greater accuracy of identification. However, it is costly to type multiple references. Thus, at times, decisions may need to be made on which relatives to type. In this study, pedigrees for 37 common reference scenarios with 13 CODIS STRs were simulated to rank the information content of different combinations of relatives. The results confirm that first-order relatives (parents and fullsibs) are the most preferred relatives to identify missing persons; fullsibs are also informative. Less genetic dependence between references provides a higher on average likelihood ratio. Distant relatives may not be helpful solely by autosomal markers. But lineage-based Y chromosome and mitochondrial DNA markers can increase the likelihood ratio or serve as filters to exclude putative relationships.
Marker sets that are based on small insertion/deletion (INDEL) alleles can serve as useful supplementary or stand-alone assays for human identification. A validation study has been performed on a human identification assay based on a panel of 30 INDELs and amelogenin using the Investigator DIPplex® kit (Qiagen). The assay was able to type DNA from a number of forensically relevant sample types and obtain full profiles with 62 pg of template DNA and partial profiles with as little as 16 pg of template DNA. The assay is reproducible, precise, and non-overlapping alleles from minor contributors were detectable in mixture analysis ranging from 6:1 to 19:1 mixtures. Population studies were performed on the 30 indels, and there were no significant departures from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium or significant linkage disequilibrium between the markers (after correction for sampling). In all populations, the random match probability was 1.43 × 10(-11) or less, and the power of exclusion was greater than .999999999. We also discovered several microvariant alleles in our population samples. The data support that the Investigator DIPplex® kit provides a powerful supplement or stand-alone capability for human identity testing.
The current familial searching strategies are generally based on either Identity-By-State (IBS) (i.e., number of shared alleles) or likelihood ratio (i.e., kinship index [KI]) assessments. In this study, the expected IBS match probabilities given relationships and the logic of the likelihood ratio method were addressed. Further, the false-positive and false-negative rates of the strategies were compared analytically or by simulations using Caucasian population data of the 13 CODIS Short Tandem Repeat (STR). IBS ≥ 15, IBS ≥ 16, KI ≥ 1000, or KI ≥ 10,000 were found to be good thresholds for balancing false-positive and false-negative rates. IBS ≥ 17 and/or KI ≥ 1,000,000 can exclude the majority of candidate profiles in the database, either related or not, and may be an initial screening option if a small candidate list is desired. Polices combining both IBS and KI can provide higher accuracy. Typing additional STRs can provide better searching performance, and lineage markers can be extremely useful for reducing false rates.
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