Abstract. Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is the most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) causing global warming. The atmospheric CO 2 concentration increased by more than 30% since pre-industrial times -primarily due to burning of fossil fuels -and still continues to increase. Reporting of CO 2 emissions is required by the Kyoto protocol. Independent verification of reported emissions, which are typially not directly measured, by methods such as inverse modeling of measured atmospheric CO 2 concentrations is currently not possible globally due to lack of appropriate observations. Existing satellite instruments such as SCIAMACHY/ENVISAT and TANSO/GOSAT focus on advancing our understanding of natural CO 2 sources and sinks. The obvious next step for future generation satellites is to also constrain anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. Here we present a promising satellite remote sensing concept based on spectroscopic measurements of reflected solar radiation and show, using power plants as an example, that strong localized CO 2 point sources can be detected and their emissions quantified. This requires mapping the atmospheric CO 2 column distribution at a spatial resolution of 2×2 km 2 with a precision of 0.5% (2 ppm) or better. We indicate that this can be achieved with existing technology. For a single satellite in sun-synchronous orbit with a swath width of 500 km, each power plant (PP) is overflown every 6 days or more frequent. Based on the MODIS cloud mask data product we conservatively estimate that typically 20 sufficiently cloud free overpasses per PP can be achieved every year. We found that for typical wind speeds in the range of 2-6 m/s the statistical uncertainty of the retrieved Correspondence to: M. Buchwitz (michael.buchwitz@iup.physik.unibremen.de) PP CO 2 emission due to instrument noise is in the range 1.6-4.8 MtCO 2 /yr for single overpasses. This corresponds to 12-36% of the emission of a mid-size PP (13 MtCO 2 /yr). We have also determined the sensitivity to parameters which may result in systematic errors such as atmospheric transport and aerosol related parameters. We found that the emission error depends linearly on wind speed, i.e., a 10% wind speed error results in a 10% emission error, and that neglecting enhanced aerosol concentrations in the PP plume may result in errors in the range 0.2-2.5 MtCO 2 /yr, depending on PP aerosol emission. The discussed concept has the potential to contribute to an independent verification of reported anthropogenic CO 2 emissions and therefore could be an important component of a future global anthropogenic GHG emission monitoring system. This is of relevance in the context of Kyoto protocol follow-on agreements but also allows detection and monitoring of a variety of other strong natural and anthropogenic CO 2 and CH 4 emitters. The investigated instrument is not limited to these applications as it has been specified to also deliver the data needed for global regionalscale CO 2 and CH 4 surface flux inverse modeling.

[1] The Bremen Optimal Estimation differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS) (BESD) algorithm for satellite based retrievals of XCO 2 (the column-average dry-air mole fraction of atmospheric CO 2 ) has been applied to Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Cartography (SCIAMACHY) data. It uses measurements in the O 2 -A absorption band to correct for scattering of undetected clouds and aerosols. Comparisons with precise and accurate ground-based Fourier transform spectrometer (FTS) measurements at four Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) sites have been used to quantify the quality of the new SCIAMACHY XCO 2 data set. Additionally, the results have been compared to NOAA's assimilation system CarbonTracker. The comparisons show that the new retrieval meets the expectations from earlier theoretical studies. We find no statistically significant regional XCO 2 biases between SCIAMACHY and the FTS instruments. However, the standard error of the systematic differences is in the range of 0.2 ppm and 0.8 ppm. The XCO 2 single-measurement precision of 2.5 ppm is similar to theoretical estimates driven by instrumental noise. There are no significant differences found for the year-to-year increase as well as for the average seasonal amplitude between SCIAMACHY XCO 2 and the collocated FTS measurements. Comparison of the year-to-year increase and also of the seasonal amplitude of CarbonTracker exhibit significant differences with the corresponding FTS values at Darwin. Here the differences between SCIAMACHY and CarbonTracker are larger than the standard error of the SCIAMACHY values. The difference of the seasonal amplitude exceeds the significance level of 2 standard errors. Therefore, our results suggest that SCIAMACHY may provide valuable additional information about XCO 2 , at least in regions with a low density of in situ measurements.

Abstract. Carbon Monitoring Satellite (CarbonSat) is one of two candidate missions for ESA's Earth Explorer 8 (EE8) satellite to be launched around the end of this decade. The overarching objective of the CarbonSat mission is to improve our understanding of natural and anthropogenic sources and sinks of the two most important anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs) carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ). The unique feature of CarbonSat is its "GHG imaging capability", which is achieved via a combination of high spatial resolution (2 km × 2 km) and good spatial coverage (wide swath and gap-free across-and along-track ground sampling). This capability enables global imaging of localized strong emission source, such as cities, power plants, methane seeps, landfills and volcanos, and likely enables better disentangling of natural and anthropogenic GHG sources and sinks. Source-sink information can be derived from the retrieved atmospheric column-averaged mole fractions of CO 2 and CH 4 , i.e. XCO 2 and XCH 4 , by inverse modelling. Using the most recent instrument and mission specification, an error analysis has been performed using the Bremen optimal EStimation DOAS (BESD/C) retrieval algorithm. We assess the retrieval performance for atmospheres containing aerosols and thin cirrus clouds, assuming that the retrieval forward model is able to describe adequately all relevant scattering properties of the atmosphere. To compute the errors for each single CarbonSat observation in a one-year period, we have developed an error parameterization scheme comprising six relevant input parameters: solar zenith angle, surface albedo in two bands, aerosol and cirrus optical depth, and cirrus altitude variations. Other errors, e.g. errors resulting from aerosol type variations, are partially quantified but not yet accounted for in the error parameterization. Using this approach, we have generated and analysed one year of simulated CarbonSat observations. Using this data set we estimate that systematic errors are for the overwhelming majority of cases (≈ 85 %) below 0.3 ppm for XCO 2 (below 0.5 ppm for 99.5 %) and below 2 ppb for XCH 4 (below 4 ppb for 99.3 %). We also show that the single-measurement precision is typically around 1.2 ppm for XCO 2 and 7 ppb for XCH 4 (1σ ). The number of quality-filtered observations over cloud-and ice-free land surfaces is in the range of 33 to 47 million per month depending on season. Recently it has been shown that terrestrial vegetation chlorophyll fluorescence (VCF) emission needs to be considered for accurate XCO 2 retrieval. We therefore retrieve VCF from clear Fraunhofer lines located around 755 nm and show that CarbonSat will provide valuable information on VCF. We estimate that the VCF single-measurement precision is approximately 0.3 mW m −2 nm −1 sr −1 (1σ ).

(2015). The Greenhouse Gas Climate Change Initiative (GHG-CCI): comparison and quality assessment of near-surface-sensitive satellite-derived CO2 and CH4 global data sets. Remote Sensing of Environment: an interdisciplinary journal, 162 344-362. The Greenhouse Gas Climate Change Initiative (GHG-CCI): comparison and quality assessment of near-surface-sensitive satellite-derived CO2 and CH4 global data sets Abstract The GHG-CCI project is one of several projects of the European Space Agency's (ESA) Climate Change Initiative (CCI). The goal of the CCI is to generate and deliver data sets of various satellite-derived Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) in line with GCOS (Global Climate Observing System) requirements. The "ECV Greenhouse Gases" (ECV GHG) is the global distribution of important climate relevant gases-atmospheric CO2 and CH4-with a quality sufficient to obtain information on regional CO2 and CH4 sources and sinks. Two satellite instruments deliver the main input data for GHG-CCI: SCIAMACHY/ENVISAT and TANSO-FTS/GOSAT. The first order priority goal of GHG-CCI is the further development of retrieval algorithms for near-surface-sensitive column-averaged dry air mole fractions of CO2 and CH4, denoted XCO2 and XCH4, to meet the demanding user requirements. GHG-CCI focuses on four core data products: XCO2 from SCIAMACHY and TANSO and XCH4 from the same two sensors. For each of the four core data products at least two candidate retrieval algorithms have been independently further developed and the corresponding data products have been quality-assessed and inter-compared. This activity is referred to as "Round Robin" (RR) activity within the CCI. The main goal of the RR was to identify for each of the four core products which algorithms should be used to generate the Climate Research Data Package (CRDP). The CRDP will essentially be the first version of the ECV GHG. This manuscript gives an overview of the GHG-CCI RR and related activities. This comprises the establishment of the user requirements, the improvement of the candidate retrieval algorithms and comparisons with ground-based observations and models. The manuscript summarizes the final RR algorithm selection decision and its justification. Comparison with ground-based Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) data indicates that the "breakthrough" single measurement precision requirement has been met for SCIAMACHY and TANSO XCO2 (< 3 ppm) and TANSO XCH4 (< 17 ppb). The achieved relative accuracy for XCH4 is 3-15 ppb for SCIAMACHY and 2-8 ppb for TANSO depending on algorithm and time period. Meeting the 0.5 ppm systematic error requirement for XCO2 remains a challenge: approximately 1 ppm has been achieved at the validation sites but also larger differences have been found in regions remote from TCCON. More research is needed to identify the causes for the observed differences. In this context GHG-CCI suggests taking advantage of the ensemble of existing data products, for example, via the EnseMble Median Algorithm (EMMA). Abstract 41 The GHG-CCI pr...

Abstract. Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ) are the two most important anthropogenic greenhouse gases contributing to global climate change. SCIAMACHY onboard ENVISAT (launch 2002) was the first and is now with TANSO onboard GOSAT (launch 2009) one of only two satellite instruments currently in space whose measurements are sensitive to CO 2 and CH 4 concentration changes in the lowest atmospheric layers where the variability due to sources and sinks is largest.We present long-term SCIAMACHY retrievals (2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)) of column-averaged dry air mole fractions of both gases (denoted XCO 2 and XCH 4 ) derived from absorption bands in the near-infrared/shortwave-infrared (NIR/SWIR) spectral region focusing on large-scale features. The results are obtained using an upgraded version (v2) of the retrieval algorithm WFM-DOAS including several improvements, while simultaneously maintaining its high processing speed. The retrieved mole fractions are compared to global model simulations (CarbonTracker XCO 2 and TM5 XCH 4 ) being optimised by assimilating highly accurate surface measurements from the NOAA/ESRL network and taking the SCIAMACHY averaging kernels into account. The comparisons address seasonal variations and long-term characteristics.