Symptomatic patients referred to an open-access upper gastrointestinal endoscopy completed a detailed, self-administered questionnaire aimed at assessing the predictive value of history in dyspepsia. Nine hundred and thirty patients were suitable for analysis. Of these, 29% were found to have organic dyspepsia. A substantial overlap of symptoms and demographic data was found among the various endoscopic diagnoses. Discriminating variables were identified by stepwise logistic regression analysis and included in predictive score models. Pain relieved by antacids, age above 40 years, previous peptic ulcer disease, male sex, symptoms provoked by berries, and night pain relieved by antacids and food were found to predict organic dyspepsia with a sensitivity and specificity of approximately 70%, when applied on the observed material. Similar probabilities were found for score models of peptic ulcer and esophagitis. In general, the low prevalence of organic diseases resulted in low positive and high negative predictive values. Accordingly, the main impact of the predictive models may be to reduce the number of negative endoscopies rather than to predict a precise diagnosis. Independent of disease category and age, 41% of the subjects expressed a fear of malignancy, emphasizing the value of reassurance from a negative endoscopy.

Double-blind randomized controlled trials in single subjects (N of 1 RCTs) have demonstrated a beneficial symptomatic effect of cimetidine in reflux- or ulcer-like non-ulcer dyspepsia (NUD). However, spontaneous fluctuations in symptoms reduce the validity of such trials when performed as continuous trials with fixed dosages. This study was carried out to identify individual responders to cimetidine in NUD, peptic ulcer disease, and oesophagitis and to confirm the beneficial average effect of cimetidine in these clinical entities. We evaluated N of 1 multi-crossover trial designs, which compare the effects of single doses of cimetidine and placebo taken on-demand for symptomatic relief. Each trial consisted of six cimetidine (400 mg or 800 mg) and six placebo tablets randomized in successive pairs. The symptomatic effect of each tablet was measured 1/2-6 h after the intake. Outcomes were assessed by individual p values and confidence intervals. A minimal clinically important difference was defined, to assess the clinical significance as demonstrated by the confidence intervals. Thirteen of 25 patients (52%) with reflux- and ulcer-like NUD obtained individual p values below 0.20. Similarly, 7 of 9 patients (78%) with oesophagitis and 6 of 12 patients (50%) with peptic ulcer obtained such p values. On the basis of the 80% confidence intervals the corresponding numbers of subjects with clinically significant effect were six (NUD), three, and three. The combined data showed a significantly better effect of cimetidine than of placebo (p less than 0.0001) in each of the three diagnostic groups studied. Cimetidine taken on-demand may have a rapid symptom-relieving effect in dyspepsia.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

In a prospective study involving 833 consecutive outpatient and open-access colonoscopies, attempts were made to characterize the benefit of colonoscopy in terms of both predicted and unpredicted findings and therapeutic procedures. The endoscopist therefore predicted the endoscopic findings before the endoscopy. The results were compared for the different indications for colonoscopy. The overall agreement between the predictions and the colonoscopic findings was 61%. Clinically significant abnormalities were found in about half the examinations. The most frequent abnormal findings were benign polyps (24%), inflammatory bowel disease (17%), and malignancy (5%). In about half the patients with a malignancy the indication for colonoscopy was rectal bleeding, and half of the malignancies were not predicted. The greatest benefit of colonoscopy was found in patients referred because of overt rectal bleeding or occult faecal blood, and abnormal barium enema or endoscopy findings. The importance of complete colonoscopy in connection with operation for colorectal carcinoma is emphasized.

During the waiting time for upper gastrointestinal endoscopy 165 patients with dyspepsia completed a questionnaire and a diary for daily measurements of the symptoms pain, heartburn, and global complaints. 23 patients (14%) had peptic ulcer disease (PUD), 18 oesophagitis (11%), and the rest were labelled nonulcer dyspepsia (NUD). NUD was further subdivided into ulcer-like, reflux-like, dysmotility, and essential NUD by means of predefined symptom profiles. 39 (24%) patients were on H2 receptor antagonist treatment. In general, the intensity of the daily symptoms was rather low, and except for a higher rating of heartburn in oesophagitis, there were no significant differences between PUD, oesophagitis, and NUD--treated or untreated. NUD patients with reflux-like dyspepsia had significantly more heartburn than the group with essential NUD; otherwise there were no differences between the subgroups of NUD. The individual daily ratings for abdominal pain, heartburn, and global symptoms varied by an average standard deviation of 64%, 97% and 47% of the mean values, respectively, and were independent of treatment or diagnoses. There was an approximately 40% probability that two successive days had different levels of symptoms. Only 10% of the patients showed stable symptoms, and the patients were completely symptom-free for 20% of the observation period. Symptoms in dyspepsia patients disclosed low intensity and high variability in this study. Such factors may be important sources of bias in clinical trials.

In more than one-third of the patients with PUD the course is still burdened with many symptoms and complications.