Öz: Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin Almanya'ya olan ihracatı tanımlayıcı istatistikler yardımı ile analiz edilmiştir. Bunun yanında Balassa endeksi farklı bir formda kullanılarak Türkiye'nin Almanya'ya olan ihracat performansı ürün grubu bazında hesaplanmaya çalışılmıştır. Tanımlayıcı istatistikler sonucunda Türkiye'nin tarım ve hayvancılık ürünlerinde Almanya'ya olan ihracatının potansiyelin çok altında olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Tanımlayıcı istatistiklerin işaret ettiği diğer bir sonuç ise emek yoğun olan ürünlerde Türkiye'nin Almanya ihracatındaki payının giderek azalmasıdır. Bu sektörlerde Türkiye'nin payını Uzak Doğu ülkelerinin ele geçirdiği tespit edilmiştir. Balassa endeksinin farklı bir formda kullanılması ile Türkiye'nin sadece bir ürün grubunda Almanya'ya olan ihracatta çok iyi bir performans gösterdiği, 22 ürün grubunda ise iyi bir performans gösterdiği belirlenmiştir. 19 ürün grubunda Türkiye'nin zayıf performans gösterdiği 53 ürün grubunda ise kötü performans gösterdiği tespit edilmiştir.
This article investigates the determinants of economic growth and also seeks to determine whether or not the impact of total factor productivity (TFP) changes with respect to the level of development for selected countries. In this manner, the present study examines the impact of gross fixed capital formation, employed labour and the TFP of G-7, G-12 and G-20 countries on real GDP per capita using second-generation panel data analyses over the period 1992–2014. The results reveal that TFP has a greater impact on economic growth than fixed capital formation and employed labour for all country groups. Furthermore, the impact of TFP on economic growth was found to be greater for developed countries than for emerging countries. JEL Classification: C21, C22, C23
Housing sector is commonly considered as a very strong economic industry in terms of both its contribution to creating employment and its impact on other associated sectors. By means of its featured characteristics, the sector also plays an important role on economic growth and development of emerging countries. In this respect, any evidence that determines factors affecting housing investments and future demand behavior may be remarkably valuable for monitoring possible future excess supply and deficits. This chapter attempts to determine factors affecting housing demand in Turkey during a sample period of 2003-2011 using a genetic algorithm-based multivariate grey model. Housing demand forecasts are also employed until the year 2020. Results reveal that several factors including M2 money supply, consumer price index and urbanization rate have an impact on housing demand. According to housing demand forecasts, a significant housing demand increase is expected in Turkey.
The main objective of this paper is to explore the relationship between Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and economic growth and exports for OECD countries for the sample period 1990-2013. For this purpose, firstly, TFP values were calculated using data envelopment analysis (DEA) for the corresponding countries within the availability of their labor force and fixed capital formation data for the relevant sample period. Secondly, several panel data analyses were performed to determine the impact of TFP values on economic growth and exports of OECD countries. Consequently, results reveal a statistically significant positive impact of TFP on both economic growth and exports for OECD countries.
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