Lassa fever is an animal-borne acute viral illness caused by the Lassa virus. This disease is endemic in parts of West Africa including Benin, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Sierra Leone, and Nigeria. We formulate a mathematical model for Lassa fever disease transmission under the assumption of a homogeneously mixed population. We highlighted the basic factors influencing the transmission of Lassa fever and also determined and analyzed the important mathematical features of the model. We extended the model by introducing various control intervention measures, like external protection, isolation, treatment, and rodent control. The extended model was analyzed and compared with the basic model by appropriate qualitative analysis and numerical simulation approach. We invoked the optimal control theory so as to determine how to reduce the spread of the disease with minimum cost.
The spread of COVID-19 across the world continues as efforts are being made from multi-dimension to curtail its spread and provide treatment. The COVID-19 triggered partial and full lockdown across the globe in an effort to prevent its spread. COVID-19 causes serious fatalities with United States of America recording over 3,000 deaths within 24 hours, the highest in the world for a single day. In this paper, we propose a framework integrated with machine learning to curtail the spread of COVID-19 in smart cities. A novel mathematical model is created to show the spread of the COVID-19 in smart cities. The proposed solution framework can generate, capture, store and analyze data using machine learning algorithms to detect, prevent the spread of COVID-19, forecast next epidemic, effective contact tracing, diagnose cases, monitor COVID-19 patient, COVID-19 vaccine development, track potential COVID-19 patients, aid in COVID-19 drug discovery and provide better understanding of the virus in smart cities. The study outlined case studies on the application of machine learning to help in the fight against COVID-19 in hospitals in smart cities across the world. The framework can provide a guide for real world execution in smart cities. The proposed framework has the potential for helping national healthcare systems in curtailing the COVID-19 pandemic in smart cities.
This paper presents results of a modeled open channel flow through a porous media (River).In the model, we considered water as an incompressible fluid; the flow as steady and uniform; the system is assumed to be isothermal and the flow pattern is laminar. We have solved the resulting Brinkman equation using analytical method. By some mathematical operation, the momentum partial differential equation (
Introduction: Tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a public health problem globally. The burden is further exacerbated in developing countries like Nigeria, by poor diagnosis, management and treatment, as well as rapid emergence of drug-resistant TB. This study was conducted to evaluate the prevalence of drug-resistant TB, determine the rpoB gene mutation patterns of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) and model the dynamics of multidrug resistant TB (MDR-TB) in Enugu, Nigeria. Methodology: A total of 868 samples, from patients accessing DOTS services in designated centres within the zone, were screened by sputum-smear microscopy, while 207 samples were screened by Nucleic Acid Amplification (Xpert® MTB/Rif) Test (NAAT). A deterministic model was formulated to study the transmission dynamics of TB and MDR-TB, using live data generated through epidemiological study. Results: The results showed TB prevalence values of 22.1% and 21.3% by sputum-smear and NAAT assays, respectively. Analysis of the rifampicin resistance patterns showed the highest occurrence of mutations (50%) along codons 523 – 527. Factors such as combination therapy, multiple therapy and compliance to treatment had influence on both prevalence and development of TB drug resistance in the population. Conclusions: This first documentation of Rifampicin resistance patterns in MTB from Nigeria shows that a majority of rpoB gene mutations occurred along codons 523 to 527, contrary to the widely reported codon 531 mutation and that multiple interventions such as combination therapy, with good compliance to treatment are needed to reduce both prevalence and development of TB drug resistance in the population.
Sterile insect technology (SIT) is an environmental-friendly method which depends on the release of sterile male mosquitoes that compete with the wild male mosquitoes and mate with wild female mosquitoes, which leads to the production of no offspring and as such reduces the population of Zika virus vector population over time, thereby eliminating the spread of Zika virus in a population. The fractional order sterile insect technology (SIT) model to reduce the spread of Zika virus disease is considered in this present work. We employed the use Laplace–Adomian decomposition method (LADM) to determine an analytical (approximate) solution of the model. The Laplace–Adomian decomposition method (LADM) produced a solution in form of an infinite series that further converges to the exact value. We compared solutions of the fractional model with the classical case using our plots and discovered that the fractional order has more degree of freedom and as such the system can be varied to get many preferred responses of the different classes of the model as the fraction (β) could be varied to the desired rate, say 0.7, 0.4, etc. We have been able to show that LADM can be used to solve an SIT model which has never been done before in literature.
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