No abstract

A team of earthquake geologists, seismologists, and engineering seismologists has collectively produced an update of the national probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) model for New Zealand (National Seismic Hazard Model, or NSHM). The new NSHM supersedes the earlier NSHM published in 2002 and used as the hazard basis for the New Zealand Loadings Standard and numerous other end-user applications. The new NSHM incorporates a fault source model that has been updated with over 200 new onshore and offshore fault sources and utilizes new New Zealand-based and international scaling relationships for the parameterization of the faults. The distributed seismicity model has also been updated to include post-1997 seismicity data, a new seismicity regionalization, and improved methodology for calculation of the seismicity parameters. Probabilistic seismic hazard maps produced from the new NSHM show a similar pattern of hazard to the earlier model at the national scale, but there are some significant reductions and increases in hazard at the regional scale. The national-scale differences between the new and earlier NSHM appear less than those seen between much earlier national models, indicating that some degree of consistency has been achieved in the national-scale pattern of hazard estimates, at least for return periods of 475 years and greater.Online Material: Table of fault source parameters for the 2010 national seismichazard model.

We develop a kinematic model for the transition from subduction beneath the North Island, New Zealand, to strike‐slip in the South Island, constrained by GPS velocities and active fault slip data. To interpret these data, we use an approach that inverts the kinematic data for poles of rotation of tectonic blocks and the degree of interseismic coupling on faults in the region. Convergence related to the Hikurangi subduction margin becomes very low offshore of the northern South Island, indicating that in this region the majority of the relative plate motion has been transferred onto faults within the upper plate, as suggested by previous studies. This result has implications for understanding the likely extent of subduction interface earthquake rupture in central New Zealand. Easterly trending strike slip faults (such as the Boo Boo fault) are the key features that facilitate the transfer of strike‐slip motion from the northern South Island faults further north into the southern North Island and onto the Hikurangi subduction thrust. Our results also indicate that the transition from rapid forearc rotation adjacent to the Hikurangi subduction margin to a strike‐slip dominated plate boundary (with negligible vertical‐axis rotation) in the South Island occurs via a crustal‐scale hinge or kink in the upper plate, compatible with paleomagnetic and structural geological data. Despite the ongoing tectonic evolution of the central New Zealand region, our study highlights a remarkable consistency between data sets spanning decades (GPS), thousands of years (active faulting data), and millions of years (paleomagnetic data and bedrock structure).

Despite many of years of mapping effort, only a small fraction of the world ocean's seafloor has been sampled for depth, greatly limiting our ability to explore and understand critical ocean and seafloor processes. Recognizing this poor state of our knowledge of ocean depths and the critical role such knowledge plays in understanding and maintaining our planet, GEBCO and the Nippon Foundation have joined forces to establish the Nippon Foundation GEBCO Seabed 2030 Project, an international effort with the objective of facilitating the complete mapping of the world ocean by 2030. The Seabed 2030 Project will establish globally distributed regional data assembly and coordination centers (RDACCs) that will identify existing data from their assigned regions that are not currently in publicly available databases and seek to make these data available. They will develop protocols for data collection (including resolution goals) and common software and other tools to assemble and attribute appropriate metadata as they assimilate regional grids using standardized techniques. A Global Data Assembly and Coordination Center (GDACC) will integrate the regional grids into a global grid and distribute to users world-wide. The GDACC will also act as the central focal point for the coordination of common data standards and processing tools as well as the outreach coordinator for Seabed 2030 efforts. The GDACC and RDACCs will collaborate with existing data centers and bathymetric compilation efforts. Finally, the Nippon Foundation GEBCO Seabed 2030 Project will encourage and help coordinate and track new survey efforts and facilitate the development of new and innovative technologies that can increase the efficiency of seafloor mapping and thus make the ambitious goals of Seabed 2030 more likely to be achieved.