<b>Background and study aims:</b> There is a risk for lymph node metastases (LNM) after endoscopic resection of early esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The aim of this study was to develop and internally validate a prediction model that estimates the individual metastases risk in patients with pT1b EAC.
<b>Patients and methods:</b> This is a nationwide, retrospective, multicenter cohort study. Patients with pT1b EAC and treated with endoscopic resection and/or surgery between 1989 and 2016 were included. Primary endpoint was the presence of LNM in surgical resection specimen or the detection of metastases during follow-up. All resection specimens were histologically reassessed by specialized gastrointestinal pathologists. Subdistribution hazard regression analysis was used to develop a prediction model. The discriminative ability of this model was assessed using the c-statistic.
<b>Results:</b> 248 patients with pT1b EAC were included. Metastases were seen in 78 patients, and the 5-year cumulative incidence was 30.9% (95% CI 25.1%-36.8%). The risk for metastases increased with submucosal invasion depth (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.14, for every increase of 500 μm), for tumors with lymphovascular invasion (SHR 2.95, 95% CI 1.95-4.45) and for larger tumors (SHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.10-1.37, for every increase of 10 mm). The model demonstrated a good discriminative ability (c-statistic 0.81, 95% CI 0.75-0.86).
<b>Conclusions:</b> One third of patients with pT1b EAC experienced metastases within 5 years. The probability for developing post resection metastases can be estimated with a personalized predicted risk score incorporating tumor invasion depth, tumor size and lymphovascular invasion. This model needs to be externally validated before implementation into clinical practice.
One-week OAC and OMC are effective therapies. OAC and OMC were equally effective in patients with metronidazole-susceptible strains of H. pylori. Using the OMC regimen, neither equality nor significant differences in treatment outcome could be shown between patients with metronidazole-resistant or -susceptible strains of H. pylori.
There are no statistically significant differences in the prostate cancer detection rate between 8 and 12-core prostate biopsy protocols. Transition zone biopsies contribute to prostate cancer detection in a repeat biopsy protocol.
To date no informative biomarkers exist to accurately predict presence of lymph node metastases (LNM) in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). We studied the discriminative value of Olfactomedin 4 (OLFM4), an intestinal stem cell marker, in EAC. Patients who had undergone esophagectomy as single treatment modality for both advanced (pT2-4) and early (pT1b) adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or gastro-esophageal junction were selected for this study from an institutional database (Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands). Surgical resection specimens of 196 advanced and 44 early EAC were examined. OLFM4 expression was studied by immunohistochemistry and categorized as low (<30%) or high (> = 30%) expression. Low OLFM4 was associated with poor differentiation grade in both advanced (60% vs. 34.8%, p = 0.001) and early EAC (39.1% vs. 9.5%, p = 0.023). LNM were present in 161 (82.1%) of advanced and 9 (20.5%) of early EAC respectively. Low OLFM4 was independently associated with the presence of LNM in advanced EAC in multivariable analysis (OR 2.7; 95% CI, 1.16–6.41; p = 0.022), but not in early EAC (OR 2.1; 95% CI, 0.46–9.84; p = 0.338). However, the difference in association with LNM between advanced (OR 2.7; 95% CI, 1.18–6.34; p = 0.019) and early (OR 2.3; 95% CI, 0.47–11.13; p = 0.302) EAC was non-significant (p = 0.844), suggesting that the lack of significance in early EAC is due to the small number of patients in this group. OLFM4 was not of significance for the disease free and overall survival. Overall, low expression of intestinal stem cell marker OLFM4 was associated with the presence of LNM. Our study suggests that OLFM4 could be an informative marker with the potential to improve preoperative assessment in patients with EAC. Further studies are needed to confirm the value of OLFM4 as a biomarker for LNM.
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