Abstract. We describe in detail the instrumentation and calibrations used in the Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment (ALE), the Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (GAGE), and the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) and present a history of the majority of the anthropogenic ozone-depleting and climate-forcing gases in air based on these experiments. Beginning in 1978, these three successive automated high-frequency in situ experiments have documented the long-term behavior of the measured concentrations of these gases over the past 20 years, and show both the evolution of latitudinal gradients and the high-frequency variability due to sources and circulation. We provide estimates of the long-term trends in total chlorine contained in long-lived halocarbons involved in ozone depletion. We summarize interpretations of these measurements using inverse methods to determine trace gas lifetimes and emissions. Finally, we provide a combined observational and modeled reconstruction of the evolution of chlorocarbons by latitude in the atmosphere over the past 60 years which can be used as boundary conditions for interpreting trapped air in glaciers and oceanic measurements of chlorocarbon tracers of the deep oceanic circulation. Some specific conclusions are as follows: (1 are not yet at levels sufficient to contribute significantly to atmospheric chlorine loading. These replacement species could in the future provide independent estimates of the global weighted-average OH concentration provided their industrial emissions are accurately documented; (6) in the future, analysis of pollution events measured using high-frequency in situ measurements of chlorofluorocarbons and their replacements may enable emission estimates at the regional level, which, together with industrial end-use data, are of sufficient accuracy to be capable of identifying regional noncompliance with the Montreal Protocol. IntroductionCurrent concerns about the atmospheric levels of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), A third phase, the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE), began over the 1993-1996 time period. AGAGE, which continues to the present, has two instrumental components. First, a highly improved gas chromatographic system measures five biogenic/anthropogenic gases [CH4, N20 , CHC13, CO, and hydrogen ( 2. The second objective is to accurately document the global distributions and temporal behavior of the biogenic/ anthropogenic gases N20 , CH4, CO, H2, CH3C1, CH3Br , and CHC13 over the globe. N20 and CH 4 are important in both the chemistry and radiative budget of the atmosphere, and changes in N20 and CH 4 may also be regarded as sensitive signals of current change in the global biosphere. CO is the major sink for OH, and both CO and CH3C1 are important indicators for regional biomass burning. Together CH3C1 and CHC13 contribute about 20% of the stratospheric chlorine content, and CH3Br contributes about 50% of bromine content [Solomon et al., 1995].3. The third objective is to optimall...
Determination of the atmospheric concentrations and lifetime of trichloroethane (CH(3)CCI(3)) is very important in the context of global change. This halocarbon is involved in depletion of ozone, and the hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations determined from its lifetime provide estimates of the lifetimes of most other hydrogen-containing gases involved in the ozone layer and climate. Global measurements of trichloroethane indicate rising concentrations before and declining concentrations after late 1991. The lifetime of CH(3)CCI(3) in the total atmosphere is 4.8 +/- 0.3 years, which is substantially lower than previously estimated. The deduced hydroxyl radical concentration, which measures the atmosphere's oxidizing capability, shows little change from 1978 to 1994.
Atmospheric measurements at several surface stations made between 1978 and 1990 of the anthropogenic chemical compound 1,1,1‐trichloroethane (methyl chloroform, CH3CCl3) show it increasing at a global average rate of 4.4 ± 0.2% per year (1σ) over this time period. The measured trends combined with industrial emission estimates are used in an optimal estimation inversion scheme to deduce a globally averaged CH3CCl3 tropospheric (and total atmospheric) lifetime of 5.7 (+0.7, −0.6) years (1σ) and a weighted global average tropospheric hydroxyl radical (OH) concentration of (8.7 ± 1.0) × 105 radical cm−3 (1σ). Inclusion of a small loss rate to the ocean for CH3CCl3 of 1/85 year−1 does not affect the stated lifetime but lowers the stated OH concentration to (8.1 ± 0.9) × 105 radical cm−3 (1σ). The rate of change of the weighted global average OH concentration over this time period is determined to be 1.0 ± 0.8% per year (1σ) which has major implications for the oxidation capacity of the atmosphere and more specifically for methane (CH4), which like CH3CCl3 is destroyed primarily by OH radicals. Because the weighting strongly favors the tropical lower troposphere, this deduced positive OH trend is qualitatively consistent with hypothesized changes in tropical tropospheric OH and ozone concentrations driven by tropical urbanization, biomass burning, land use changes, and long‐term warming. We caution, however, that our deduced rate of change in OH assumes that current industry estimates of anthropogenic emissions and our absolute calibration of CH3CCl3 are accurate. The CH3CCl3 measurements at our tropical South Pacific station (Samoa) show remarkable sensitivity to the El Nino‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which we attribute to modulation of cross‐equatorial transport during the northern hemisphere winter by the interannually varying upper tropospheric zonal winds in the equatorial Pacific. Thus measurements of this chemical compound have led to the discovery of a previously unappreciated aspect of tropical atmospheric tracer transport.
We present and interpret long‐term measurements of the chemically and radiatively important trace gas nitrous oxide (N2O) obtained during the Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment (ALE) and its successor the Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (GAGE). The ALE/GAGE data for N2O comprise over 110,000 individual calibrated real‐time air analyses carried out over a 10‐year (July 1978–June 1988) time period. These measurements indicate that the average concentration in the northern hemisphere is persistently 0.75±0.16 ppbv higher than in the southern hemisphere and that the global average linear trend in N2O lies in the range from 0.25 to 0.31% yr−1, with the latter result contingent on certain assumptions about the long‐term stability of the calibration gases used in the experiment. Interpretation of the data, using inverse theory and a 9‐box (grid) model of the global atmosphere, indicates that the N2O surface emissions into the 90°N–30°N, 30°N–0°, 0°–30°S, and 30°S–90°S semihemispheres account for about 22–34, 32–39, 20–29 and 11–15% of the global total emissions, respectively. The measured trends and latitudinal distributions are consistent with the hypothesis that stratospheric photodissociation is the major atmospheric sink for N2O, but they do not support the hypothesis that the temporal N2O increase is caused solely by increases in anthropogenic N2O emissions associated with fossil fuel combustion. Instead, the cause for the N2O trend appears to be a combination of a growing tropical source (probably resulting from tropical land disturbance) and a growing northern mid‐latitude source (probably resulting from a combination of fertilizer use and fossil fuel combustion). The exact combination of these sources which best fits the data depends on the assumed tropospheric‐stratospheric exchange rates for N2O in the northern hemisphere relative to the southern hemisphere. Accepting a theoretically‐calculated N2O lifetime of 166±16 years due to stratospheric destruction only, we deduce from the ALE/GAGE data a 10‐year average global N2O emission rate of (20.5±2.4) × 1012 g N2O yr−1, but with significant year‐to‐year variations in emissions associated perhaps with year‐to‐year variations in tropical land disturbance.
Thirteen years of Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment/Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment CCl3F and CCl2F2 measurements at five remote, surface, globally distributed sites are analyzed. Comparisons are made against shipboard measurements by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography group and archived air samples collected at Cape Grim, Tasmania, since 1978. CCl3F in the lower troposphere was increasing at an average rate of 9.2 ppt/yr over the period July 1978 to June 1988. CCl2F2 was increasing at an average 17.3 ppt/yr in the lower troposphere over the same period. However, between July 1988 and June 1991 the increases of CCl3F and CCl2F2 in this region have averaged just 7.0 ppt/yr and 15.7 ppt/yr, respectively. The rate of increase has been decreasing 2.4 ppt/yr2 and 2.9 ppt/yr2 over this 3‐year period. Based on a recent scenario of the global releases of these compounds and using the new calibration scale SIO 1993, the equilibrium lifetimes are estimated to be and years for CCl3F and CCl2F2, respectively. Using these lifetime estimates and a two‐dimensional model, it is estimated that global releases of these two chlorofluorocarbons in 1990 were 249±28×106 kg for CCl3F and 366±30×106 kg for CCl2F2. It is also estimated that combined releases of these chlorofluorocarbons in 1990 were 21±5% less than those in 1986.
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