The volume of energy loss that Brazilian electric utilities have to deal with has been ever increasing. The electricity concessionaries are suffering significant and increasing loss in the last years, due to theft, measurement errors and many other kinds of irregularities. Therefore, there is a great concern from those companies to identify the profile of irregular customers, in order to reduce the volume of such losses. This paper presents the proposal of an intelligent system, composed of two neural networks ensembles, which intends to increase the level of accuracy in the identification of irregularities among low tension consumers. The data used to test the proposed system are from Light S.A. Company, the Rio de Janeiro concessionary. The results obtained presented a significant increase in the identification of irregular customers when compared to the current methodology employed by the company.
In this paper, we report on our experience with the application of validated models to assess performance, reliability, and adaptability of a complex mission critical system that is being developed to dynamically monitor and control the position of an oil-drilling platform. We present real-time modeling results that show that all tasks are schedulable. We performed stochastic analysis of the distribution of tasks execution time as a function of the number of system interfaces. We report on the variability of task execution times for the expected system configurations. In addition, we have executed a system library for an important task inside the performance model simulator. We report on the measured algorithm convergence as a function of the number of vessel thrusters. We have also studied the system architecture adaptability by comparing the documented system architecture and the implemented source code. We report on the adaptability findings and the recommendations we were able to provide to the system's architect. Finally, we have developed models of hardware and software reliability. We report on hardware reliability results based on the evaluation of the system architecture. As a topic for future work, we report on an approach that we recommend be applied to evaluate the system under study software reliability.
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