Purpose:
HPV-associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+HNSCC) is the most common HPV-associated malignancy in the United States and continues to increase in incidence. Current diagnostic approaches for HPV+HNSCC rely on tissue biopsy followed by histomorphologic assessment and detection of HPV indirectly by p16 IHC. Such approaches are invasive and have variable sensitivity.
Experimental Design:
We conducted a prospective observational study in 140 subjects (70 cases and 70 controls) to test the hypothesis that a noninvasive diagnostic approach for HPV+HNSCC would have improved diagnostic accuracy, lower cost, and shorter diagnostic interval compared with standard approaches. Blood was collected, processed for circulating tumor HPV DNA (ctHPVDNA), and analyzed with custom ddPCR assays for HPV genotypes 16, 18, 33, 35, and 45. Diagnostic performance, cost, and diagnostic interval were calculated for standard clinical workup and compared with a noninvasive approach using ctHPVDNA combined with cross-sectional imaging and physical examination findings.
Results:
Sensitivity and specificity of ctHPVDNA for detecting HPV+HNSCC were 98.4% and 98.6%, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity of a composite noninvasive diagnostic using ctHPVDNA and imaging/physical examination were 95.1% and 98.6%, respectively. Diagnostic accuracy of this noninvasive approach was significantly higher than standard of care (Youden index 0.937 vs. 0.707, P = 0.0006). Costs of noninvasive diagnostic were 36% to 38% less than standard clinical workup and the median diagnostic interval was 26 days less.
Conclusions:
A noninvasive diagnostic approach for HPV+HNSCC demonstrated improved accuracy, reduced cost, and a shorter time to diagnosis compared with standard clinical workup and could be a viable alternative in the future.
BACKGROUND: New ultrasensitive methods for detecting residual disease after surgery are needed in human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+OPSCC). METHODS: To determine whether the clearance kinetics of circulating tumor human papillomavirus DNA (ctHPVDNA) is associated with postoperative disease status, a prospective observational study was conducted in 33 patients with HPV+OPSCC undergoing surgery. Blood was collected before surgery, postoperative days 1 (POD 1), 7, and 30 and with follow-up. A subcohort of 12 patients underwent frequent blood collections in the first 24 hours after surgery to define early clearance kinetics. Plasma was run on custom droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) assays for HPV genotypes 16, 18, 33, 35, and 45. RESULTS: In patients without pathologic risk factors for recurrence who were observed after surgery, ctHPVDNA rapidly decreased to <1 copy/mL by POD 1 (n = 8/8). In patients with risk factors for macroscopic residual disease, ctHPVDNA was markedly elevated on POD 1 (>350 copies/mL) and remained elevated until adjuvant treatment (n = 3/3). Patients with intermediate POD 1 ctH-PVDNA levels (1.2-58.4 copies/mL) all possessed pathologic risk factors for microscopic residual disease (n = 9/9). POD 1 ctHPVDNA levels were higher in patients with known adverse pathologic risk factors such as extranodal extension >1 mm (P = .0481) and with increasing lymph nodes involved (P = .0453) and were further associated with adjuvant treatment received (P = .0076). One of 33 patients had a recurrence that was detected by ctHPVDNA 2 months earlier than clinical detection. CONCLUSIONS: POD 1 ctHPVDNA levels are associated with the risk of residual disease in patients with HPV+OPSCC undergoing curative intent surgery and thus could be used as a personalized biomarker for selecting adjuvant treatment in the future.
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