Change-point analysis (CPA) is a well-established statistical method to detect abrupt changes, if any, in a sequence of data. In this paper, we propose a procedure based on CPA to detect test speededness. This procedure is not only able to classify examinees into speeded and non-speeded groups, but also identify the point at which an examinee starts to speed. Identification of the change point can be very useful. First, it informs decision makers of the appropriate length of a test. Second, by removing the speeded responses, instead of the entire response sequence of an examinee suspected of speededness, ability estimation can be improved. Simulation studies show that this procedure is efficient in detecting both speeded examinees and the speeding point. Ability estimation is dramatically improved by removing speeded responses identified by our procedure. The procedure is then applied to a real dataset for illustration purpose.
Due to its flexibility, the multiple-indicator, multiple-causes (MIMIC) model has become an increasingly popular method for the detection of differential item functioning (DIF). In this article, we propose the mediated MIMIC model method to uncover the underlying mechanism of DIF. This method extends the usual MIMIC model by including one variable or multiple variables that may completely or partially mediate the DIF effect. If complete mediation effect is found, the DIF effect is fully accounted for. Through our simulation study, we find that the mediated MIMIC model is very successful in detecting the mediation effect that completely or partially accounts for DIF, while keeping the Type I error rate well controlled for both balanced and unbalanced sample sizes between focal and reference groups. Because it is successful in detecting such mediation effects, the mediated MIMIC model may help explain DIF and give guidance in the revision of a DIF item.
Machine-learning technology powers many aspects of modern society. Compared to the conventional machine learning techniques that were limited in processing natural data in the raw form, deep learning allows computational models to learn representations of data with multiple levels of abstraction. In this study, an improved deep learning model is proposed to explore the complex interactions among roadways, traffic, environmental elements, and traffic crashes. The proposed model includes two modules, an unsupervised feature learning module to identify functional network between the explanatory variables and the feature representations and a supervised fine tuning module to perform traffic crash prediction. To address the unobserved heterogeneity issues in the traffic crash prediction, a multivariate negative binomial (MVNB) model is embedding into the supervised fine tuning module as a regression layer. The proposed model was applied to the dataset that was collected from Knox County in Tennessee to validate the performances. The results indicate that the feature learning module identifies relational information between the explanatory variables and the feature representations, which reduces the dimensionality of the input and preserves the original information. The proposed model that includes the MVNB regression layer in the supervised fine tuning module can better account for differential distribution patterns in traffic crashes across injury severities and provides superior traffic crash predictions. The findings suggest that the proposed model is a superior alternative for traffic crash predictions and the average accuracy of the prediction that was measured by RMSD can be improved by 84.58% and 158.27% compared to the deep learning model without the regression layer and the SVM model, respectively.
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