Objective It aimed to analyze the epidemic situation of new coronary pneumonia (COVID-19) based on the epidemiological Markov model, and to study the clinical risk factors of the patients based on the patient’s cardinal data and clinical symptoms. Methods A total of 500 patients with COVID-19 diagnosed by nucleic acid testing in the X hospital from January 2020 to May 2020 were collected. According to the severity of the disease, they were classified into general group (200 cases) and acute critical group (300 cases). Markov model to predict the number of COVID-19 infections was constructed. Patient’s general information, clinical characteristics, and prevention methods were analyzed. Results According to Markov model statistics, the developmental expected stay time of patients infected with COVID-19 was 14 days. 2. The two groups of patients had statistically considerable differences in complications such as gender, age, hypertension, coronary heart disease, shortness of breath, myocardial damage, and thrombocytopenia ( P < 0.05). 3. Logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that the clinical risk factors for patients with COVID-19 mainly included the patient’s gender, age, whether they were associated with hypertension, coronary heart disease, shortness of breath, myocardial damage, and thrombocytopenia. Conclusion Markov model can be utilized to judge the time course of the COVID-19 in various development states. In addition, the COVID-19 spread rapidly and is extremely harmful. Clinically, through active prevention, the treatment effect can be improved, the patient’s respiratory function, and the quality of life can also be improved.

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To investigate the immune status of people who previously had COVID-19 infections, we recruited patients 2 weeks post-recovery and analyzed circulating cytokines and lymphocyte subsets. We measured levels of total lymphocytes, CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, CD19+ B cells, CD56+ NK cells, and the serum concentrations of interleukin (IL)-1, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), and interferon gamma (IFN-γ) by flow cytometry. We found that in most post-recovery patients, levels of total lymphocytes (66.67%), CD3+ T cells (54.55%), CD4+ T cells (54.55%), CD8 + T cells (81.82%), CD19+ B cells (69.70%), and CD56+ NK cells(51.52%) remained lower than normal, whereas most patients showed normal levels of IL-2 (100%), IL-4 (80.88%), IL-6 (79.41%), IL-10 (98.53%), TNF-α (89.71%), IFN-γ (100%) and IL-17 (97.06%). Compared to healthy controls, 2-week post-recovery patients had significantly lower absolute numbers of total lymphocytes, CD3+ T cells, CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, CD19+ B cells, and CD56+ NK cells, along with significantly higher levels of IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-α, IFN-γ and IL-17. Among post-recovery patients, T cells, particularly CD4+ T cells, were positively correlated with CD19+ B cell counts. Additionally, CD8+ T cells positively correlated with CD4+ T cells and IL-2 levels, and IL-6 positively correlated with TNF-α and IFN-γ. These correlations were not observed in healthy controls. By ROC curve analysis, post-recovery decreases in lymphocyte subsets and increases in cytokines were identified as independent predictors of rehabilitation efficacy. These findings indicate that the immune system has gradually recovered following COVID-19 infection; however, the sustained hyper-inflammatory response for more than 14 days suggests a need to continue medical observation following discharge from the hospital. Longitudinal studies of a larger cohort of recovered patients are needed to fully understand the consequences of the infection.

Resumo Fundamento A amiloidose é definida como um distúrbio caracterizado pela deposição de material proteico amiloide extracelular nos tecidos. Objetivos O N-terminal pró-peptídeo natriurético tipo-B (NT-proBNP) é usado para prever a amiloidose cardíaca (AC), mas seu efeito diagnóstico no comprometimento por AC ainda não é claro, especialmente em termos de especificidade e sensibilidade. Métodos Foi feita uma busca de literatura nos bancos de dados Pubmed, Embase e a biblioteca Cochrane, e o QUADAS 2 foi utilizado para avaliação da qualidade. O comando Midas no Stata 12.0 foi usado para analisar os indicadores dos sujeitos. O teste Q de Cochran e o I 2 foram usados como testes de heterogeneidade, e a heterogeneidade significativa foi definida como p <0,05 e/ou I 2 >50%. A análise de correlação de Spearman foi usada para avaliar o efeito de limiar, e o viés da publicação foi avaliado pelo teste de assimetria. A significância estatística foi definida em p <0,05. Resultados Como resultados, 10 conjuntos de dados de 7 estudos foram incluídos para análise, apresentando alta qualidade metodológica e pequenos vieses de confusão. A sensibilidade e a especificidade do NT-proBNP no diagnóstico do comprometimento cardíaco para pacientes com amiloidose foram 0,93 e 0,84, respectivamente. As curvas ROC também sugeriram uma validade diagnóstica alta do NT-proBNP com AUC de 0,95. Um nomograma de Fagan demonstrou que as probabilidades de NT-proBNP positivo e negativo no avanço do comprometimento por AC eram de 90% e 8%, respectivamente. O gráfico de funil de Deek não sugeriu viés significativo de publicação entre os estudos incluídos, e os resultados foram estáveis e confiáveis. Conclusões O NT-proBNP desempenha um papel positivo no diagnóstico precoce do comprometimento por AC, com alta sensibilidade e especificidade.