Machine learning combines inductive and automated techniques for recognizing patterns. These techniques can be used with remote sensing datasets to map aboveground biomass (AGB) with an acceptable degree of accuracy for evaluation and management of forest ecosystems. Unfortunately, statistically rigorous comparisons of machine learning algorithms are scarce. The aim of this study was to compare the performance of the 3 most common nonparametric machine learning techniques reported in the literature, vis., Support Vector Machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (kNN) and Random Forest (RF), with that of the parametric multiple linear regression (MLR) for estimating AGB from Landsat-5 Thematic Mapper (TM) spectral reflectance data, texture features derived from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and topographical features derived from a digital elevation model (DEM). The results obtained for 99 permanent sites (for calibration/validation of the models) established during the winter of 2011 by systematic sampling in the state of Durango (Mexico), showed that SVM performed best once the parameterization had been optimized. Otherwise, SVM could be outperformed by RF. However, the kNN yielded the best overall results in relation to the goodness-of-fit measures. The findings confirm that nonparametric machine learning algorithms are powerful tools for estimating AGB with datasets derived from sensors with medium spatial resolution. Résumé. L'apprentissage automatique combine des techniques inductives et automatisées pour la reconnaissance des formes. Ces techniques peuvent être utilisées avec des ensembles de données de télédétection pour cartographier la biomasse aérienne « aboveground biomass » (AGB) avec un degré de précision acceptable pour l'évaluation et la gestion des écosystèmes forestiers. Malheureusement, des comparaisons statistiquement rigoureuses des algorithmes d'apprentissage automatique sont rares. Le but de cette étude était de comparer les performances des 3 méthodes d'apprentissage automatique non paramétriques les plus fréquemment rapportées dans la littérature, vis., les machines à vecteurs de support « Support Vector Machine » (SVM), les k plus proches voisins « k-nearest neighbor » (kNN) et les forêts aléatoires « Random Forest » (RF), avec celle de la régression linéaire multiple paramétrique (MLR) pour l'estimation de l'AGB provenant des données de réflectance spectrale de Landsat-5 Thematic Mapper (TM), des caractéristiques de texture dérivées de l'indice de végétation par différence normalisée « Normalized Difference Vegetation Index » (NDVI) et des caractéristiques topographiques dérivées d'un modèle numérique de terrain « digital elevation model » (DEM).Les résultats obtenus pour 99 sites permanents (pour la calibration/validation des modèles) établis au cours de l'hiver 2011 par l'échantillonnage systématique dans l' État de Durango (Mexique), ont montré que les SVM montrent leurs meilleures performances une fois que le paramétrage a été optimisé. Par ailleurs, les SVM pourraient ê...
The survival of an increasing number of species is threatened by climate change: 20%–30% of plants and animals seem to be at risk of range shift or extinction if global warming reaches levels projected to occur by the end of this century. Plant range shifts may determine whether animal species that rely on plant availability for food and shelter will be affected by new patterns of plant occupancy and availability. Brown bears in temperate forested habitats mostly forage on plants and it may be expected that climate change will affect the viability of the endangered populations of southern Europe. Here, we assess the potential impact of climate change on seven plants that represent the main food resources and shelter for the endangered population of brown bears in the Cantabrian Mountains (Spain). Our simulations suggest that the geographic range of these plants might be altered under future climate warming, with most bear resources reducing their range. As a consequence, this brown bear population is expected to decline drastically in the next 50 years. Range shifts of brown bear are also expected to displace individuals from mountainous areas towards more humanized ones, where we can expect an increase in conflicts and bear mortality rates. Additional negative effects might include: (a) a tendency to a more carnivorous diet, which would increase conflicts with cattle farmers; (b) limited fat storage before hibernation due to the reduction of oak forests; (c) increased intraspecific competition with other acorn consumers, that is, wild ungulates and free‐ranging livestock; and (d) larger displacements between seasons to find main trophic resources. The magnitude of the changes projected by our models emphasizes that conservation practices focused only on bears may not be appropriate and thus we need more dynamic conservation planning aimed at reducing the impact of climate change in forested landscapes.
This paper presents new equations for estimating above-ground biomass (AGB) and biomass components of seventeen forest species in the temperate forests of northwestern Mexico. A data set corresponding to 1336 destructively sampled oak and pine trees was used to fit the models. The generalized method of moments was used to simultaneously fit systems of equations for biomass components and AGB, to ensure additivity. In addition, the carbon content of each tree component was calculated by the dry combustion method, in a TOC analyser. The results of cross-validation indicated that the fitted equations accounted for on average 91%, 82%, 83% and 76% of the observed variance in stem wood and stem bark, branch and foliage biomass, respectively, whereas the total AGB equations explained on average 93% of the total observed variance in AGB. The inclusion of total height (h) or diameter at breast height 2 × total height (d 2 h) as a predictor in the d-only based equations systems slightly improved estimates for stem wood, stem bark and total above-ground biomass, and greatly improved the estimates produced by the branch and foliage biomass equations. The predictive power of the proposed equations is higher than that of existing models for the study area. The fitted equations were used to estimate stand level AGB stocks from data on growing stock in 429 permanent sampling plots. Three machine-learning techniques were used to model the estimated stand level AGB and carbon contents; the selected models were used to map the AGB and carbon distributions in the study area, for which mean values of respectively 129.84 Mg ha −1 and 63.80 Mg ha −1 were obtained.
Solar radiation is affected by absorption and emission phenomena during its downward trajectory from the Sun to the Earth's surface and during the upward trajectory detected by satellite sensors. This leads to distortion of the ground radiometric properties (reflectance) recorded by satellite images, used in this study to estimate aboveground forest biomass (AGB). Atmospherically-corrected remote sensing data can be used to estimate AGB on a global scale and with moderate effort. The objective of this study was to evaluate four atmospheric correction algorithms (for surface reflectance), ATCOR2 (Atmospheric Correction for Flat Terrain), COST (Cosine of the Sun Zenith Angle), FLAASH (Fast Line-of-sight Atmospheric Analysis of Spectral Hypercubes) and 6S (Second Simulation of Satellite Signal in the Solar), and one radiometric correction algorithm (for reflectance at the sensor) ToA (Apparent Reflectance at the Top of Atmosphere) to estimate AGB in temperate forest in the northeast of the state of Durango, Mexico. The AGB was estimated from Landsat 5 TM imagery and ancillary information from a digital elevation model (DEM) using the non-parametric multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) technique. Field reference data for the model training were collected by systematic sampling of 99 permanent forest growth and soil research sites (SPIFyS) established during the winter of 2011. The following predictor variables were identified in the MARS model: Band 7, Band 5, slope (β), Wetness Index (WI), NDVI and MSAVI2. After cross-validation, 6S was found to be the optimal model for estimating AGB (R 2 = 0.71 and RMSE = 33.5 Mg¨ha´1; 37.61% of the average stand biomass). We conclude that atmospheric and radiometric correction of satellite images can be used along with non-parametric techniques to estimate AGB with acceptable accuracy.
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