Background
Serial cross-sectional data on antibody levels to 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus from a population can be used to estimate the infection attack rates and immunity against future infection in the community.
Methods
Between April and December 2009, we obtained 12,217 serum specimens from blood donors (16–59 yo), 2,520 from hospital outpatients (5–59yo), and 917 from subjects of a community pediatric cohort study (5–14yo). We estimated infection attack rates by comparing the proportions of specimens with antibody titers ≥1:40 by viral microneutralization before and after the first wave of the pandemic. Estimates were validated using paired sera from 324 individuals that spanned the first wave. Combining these estimates with epidemiologic surveillance data, we calculated the proportion of infections that led to hospitalization, intensive care admission, and death.
Results
We found that 3.3% and 14% of 5–59 yo had antibody titers ≥1:40 before and after the first wave. The overall attack rate was 10.7% with the following age-stratification: 43.4% in 5–14 yo, 15.8% in 15–19 yo, 11.8% in 20–29 yo, and 4–4.6% in 30–59 yo. Case-hospitalization rates were 0.47%–0.87% among 5–59 yo. Case-ICU and case-fatality rates increased from 7.9 and 0.4 per 100,000 infections in 5–14 yo to 75 and 26.5 per 100,000 infections in 50–59 yo.
Conclusions
Almost half of all school-children in Hong Kong were infected during the first wave. Compared to school-children aged 5–14, older adults aged 50–59 had 9.5 and 66 times higher risk of ICU admission and death if infected.
This study reports that using serological data coupled with clinical surveillance data can provide real-time estimates of the infection attack rates and severity in an emerging influenza pandemic.
Air pollution has emerged as one of the world’s largest environmental health threats, with various studies demonstrating associations between exposure to air pollution and respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Regional air quality in Southeast Asia has been seasonally affected by the transboundary haze problem, which has often been the result of forest fires from “slash-and-burn” farming methods. In light of growing public health concerns, recent studies have begun to examine the health effects of this seasonal haze problem in Southeast Asia. This review paper aims to synthesize current research efforts on the impact of the Southeast Asian transboundary haze on acute aspects of public health. Existing studies conducted in countries affected by transboundary haze indicate consistent links between haze exposure and acute psychological, respiratory, cardiovascular, and neurological morbidity and mortality. Future prospective and longitudinal studies are warranted to quantify the long-term health effects of recurrent, but intermittent, exposure to high levels of seasonal haze. The mechanism, toxicology and pathophysiology by which these toxic particles contribute to disease and mortality should be further investigated. Epidemiological studies on the disease burden and socioeconomic cost of haze exposure would also be useful to guide policy-making and international strategy in minimizing the impact of seasonal haze in Southeast Asia.
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