RESUMENEn este trabajo se evalúa la calidad de las predicciones meteorológicas del modelo numérico de alta resolución Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF). Las condiciones iniciales y de frontera fueron obtenidas del modelo numérico de predicción meteorológica regional Consortium for Small-scale Modeling (COSMO) con resolución horizontal de 7 km. El modelo WRF fue integrado durante enero y julio de 2013 en dos resoluciones horizontales (3 y 1 km). Las predicciones numéricas del modelo WRF se evaluaron utilizando diferentes medidas estadísticas calculadas para la temperatura a 2 m y para la velocidad del viento a 10 m. Los resultados han mostrado una tendencia del modelo WRF a sobreestimar los valores de los parámetros meteorológicos analizados en comparación con las observaciones.
ABSTRACTThe aim of this paper is to evaluate the quality of high-resolution weather forecasts from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical weather prediction model. The lateral and boundary conditions were obtained from the numerical output of the Consortium for Small-scale Modeling (COSMO) model at 7 km horizontal resolution. The WRF model was run for January and July 2013 at two horizontal resolutions (3 and 1 km). The numerical forecasts of the WRF model were evaluated using different statistical scores for 2 m temperature and 10 m wind speed. Results showed a tendency of the WRF model to overestimate the values of the analyzed parameters in comparison to observations.
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