Stylized facts for univariate high-frequency data in finance are well known. They include scaling behaviour, volatility clustering, heavy tails and seasonalities. The multivariate problem, however, has scarcely been addressed up to now. In this paper, bivariate series of high-frequency FX spot data for major FX markets are investigated. First, as an indispensable prerequisite for further analysis, the problem of simultaneous deseasonalization of high-frequency data is addressed. In the following sections we analyse in detail the dependence structure as a function of the timescale. Particular emphasis is put on the tail behaviour, which is investigated by means of copulas.

Despite an extensive body of research, the best way to model the dependence of exchange rates remains an open question. In this paper we present a new approach which employs a flexible time-varying copula model. It allows the conditional correlation between exchange rates to be both time-varying and modeled independently from the marginal distributions. We introduce a dynamic specification for the correlation using the Fisher transformation. Applied to Euro/US dollar and Japanese Yen/US dollar, our results reveal a significantly time-varying correlation, dependent on the past return realizations. We find that a time-varying copula with the proposed correlation specification gives better results than alternative dynamic benchmark models. The dynamic copula model outperforms at six different time horizons, ranging from hourly to daily, confirming the model specification.JEL Classification: C32, C50, F31

The potential of economic variables for financial risk measurement is an open field for research. This article studies the role of market capitalization in the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR). We test the performance of different VaR methodologies for portfolios with different market capitalization. We perform the analysis considering separately financial crisis periods and non-crisis periods.We find that VaR methods perform differently for portfolios with different market capitalization. For portfolios with stocks of different sizes we obtain better VaR estimates when taking market capitalization into account. We also find that it is important to consider crisis and non-crisis periods separately when estimating VaR across different sizes. This study provides evidence that market fundamentals are relevant for risk measurement.

In this paper we test for structural changes in the conditional dependence of twodimensional foreign exchange data. We show that by modeling the conditional dependence structure using copulae we can detect changes in the dependence beyond linear correlation like changes in the tail of the joint distribution. This methodology is relevant for estimating risk management measures as portfolio Value-at-Risk, pricing multi-name financial instruments and portfolio asset allocation. Our results include evidence of the existence of changes in the correlation as well as in the fatness of the tail of the dependence between Deutsche Mark and Japanese Yen.