BackgroundChildren with moderate acute malnutrition (MAM) have an increased risk of mortality, infections and impaired physical and cognitive development compared to well-nourished children. In parts of Ethiopia not considered chronically food insecure there are no supplementary feeding programmes (SFPs) for treating MAM. The short-term outcomes of children who have MAM in such areas are not currently described, and there remains an urgent need for evidence-based policy recommendations.MethodsWe defined MAM as mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) of ≥11.0cm and <12.5cm with no bilateral pitting oedema to include Ethiopian government and World Health Organisation cut-offs. We prospectively surveyed 884 children aged 6–59 months living with MAM in a rural area of Ethiopia not eligible for a supplementary feeding programme. Weekly home visits were made for seven months (28 weeks), covering the end of peak malnutrition through to the post-harvest period (the most food secure window), collecting anthropometric, socio-demographic and food security data.ResultsBy the end of the study follow up, 32.5% (287/884) remained with MAM, 9.3% (82/884) experienced at least one episode of SAM (MUAC <11cm and/or bilateral pitting oedema), and 0.9% (8/884) died. Only 54.2% of the children recovered with no episode of SAM by the end of the study. Of those who developed SAM half still had MAM at the end of the follow up period. The median (interquartile range) time to recovery was 9 (4–15) weeks. Children with the lowest MUAC at enrolment had a significantly higher risk of remaining with MAM and a lower chance of recovering.ConclusionsChildren with MAM during the post-harvest season in an area not eligible for SFP experience an extremely high incidence of SAM and a low recovery rate. Not having a targeted nutrition-specific intervention to address MAM in this context places children with MAM at excessive risk of adverse outcomes. Further preventive and curative approaches should urgently be considered.

The EAT-Lancet Commission on Food, Planet, Health promulgated a universal reference diet. Subsequently, researchers constructed an EAT-Lancet diet score (0-14 points), with lower bound intake values for various dietary components set at 0 g/d, and reported inverse associations with risks of major health outcomes in a high-income population. We assessed associations between EAT-Lancet diet scores, without or with (>0 g/d) minimum intake values, and the Mean Probability of Micronutrient Adequacy (MPA) in food and nutrition insecure women of reproductive age (WRA) from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We analysed single 24-h diet recall data (n=1,950) from studies in rural Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ecuador, Kenya, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam. Associations between EAT-Lancet diet scores and MPA were assessed by fitting linear mixed-effects models with random intercept and slope. EAT-Lancet diet scores (mean ± SD) were 8.8 ± 1.3 and 1.9 ± 1.1 without or with minimum intake values, respectively. Furthermore, pooled MPA was 0.58 ± 0.22 and total energy intake was 2521 ± 1100 kcal/d. One-point increase in the EAT-Lancet diet score, without minimum intake values, was associated with a 2.6 ± 0.7 percentage points decrease in MPA (P<0.001). In contrast, the EAT-Lancet diet score, with minimum intake values, was associated with a 2.4 ± 1.3 percentage points increase in MPA (P=0.07). Further analysis indicated positive associations between EAT-Lancet diet scores and MPA adjusted for total energy intake (P<0.05). Our findings indicate that the EAT-Lancet diet score requires minimum intake values for nutrient-dense dietary components to avoid positively scoring non-consumption of food groups and subsequently predicting lower MPA of diets, when applied to rural WRA in LMICs.

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