Introduction. The relevance of the study is determined by the uneven regional conditions for the development of childhood in Russia. Russia’s regions have different resources for preserving children’s health and educating children. The aim of the work is to identify regional factors affecting the social potential of children, and the subsequent construction of the simulation model of Social potential of childhood in a region.
Materials and Methods. The study employed the methods of correlation and regression analysis. Statistical data presented in official sources were used as the materials of the study. The calculations were made using the Deductor analytical platform, the construction of the simulation model was implemented using the AnyLogic software.
Results. During the study, 12 target and 36 control factors were identified. An analysis of the relationships between the target and control factors made it possible to identify target indicators characterizing children’s education, health and survival rates. The identified control factors were divided into three groups: the constants, factors that can be regulated by the regions, and factors that are difficult to regulate by the regions. The constructed simulation model is part of the assessment of the control factors’ influence on childhood in Russia’s regions. Experiments with the model showed that in addition to influencing the socio-economic situation in a region as a whole, it is important to reduce the number of shifts in schools and at the same time improve the skills of school teachers, increase the number of children involved in summer recreational activities.
Discussion and Conclusion. The research materials will be useful in planning for preservation and development of the social potential of childhood in a region. The data obtained are of value both to sociologists and scientists involved in modeling of socio-economic processes. In the study of regional systems.
The aim of our study is to build models of socioeconomic processes in the Russian regions, which are the background for the achievement of three indicators of the quality of childhood-health, education and spiritual and moral development. The parameters characterizing social and economic processes in the region are designated as managing factors, and indicators of quality of the childhood as target factors. The necessary empirical data are collected from the Russian statistical compilations, as well as the unified interdepartmental information and statistical system. 2016 was chosen as the observation period. The interaction of target and control factors is described by means of regression equations. Equations with the highest percentage of explained regression, as well as repetitive control factors (each target factor had its own equation) became the basis for the construction of the simulation model in AnyLogic. The approach of system dynamics has been chosen from among three approaches of stimulation, allowing to work with incomplete data, to track changes in the model over time, as well as to build cause-and-effect relationships between factors. In the system dynamics model, the target factors are overridden in 'drives', and the control factors-in variables (regulated and unregulated).
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.