Study Characteristics and Recidivism Base Rates in Juvenile Sex Offender Recidivism

Caldwell, Michael F.

doi:10.1177/0306624x08330016

Cited by 157 publications

(157 citation statements)

References 58 publications

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“…In agreement with previous findings (Caldwell, 2010;Gerhold et al, 2007;Worling & Långström, 2006), sexual recidivism was low in the present study (3.1%) whereas nonsexual violent (16.6%) and general recidivism was substantially higher (44.8%). Hence, the present study confirms previous findings that JSO are often versatile offenders who are at risk of future multiple delinquency (Caldwell, 2010).…”

Section: General Findingssupporting

confidence: 93%

“…Hence, the present study confirms previous findings that JSO are often versatile offenders who are at risk of future multiple delinquency (Caldwell, 2010). Interestingly, the analyses of the offence data suggest that sexual assault of a child was negatively associated with further violent and general recidivism.…”

Section: General Findingssupporting

confidence: 91%

“…Secondly, the evaluation of recidivism was based on local official data only and did not include national official data or self reports so that there may be some under-reporting. Thirdly, like most studies dealing with sexual recidivism in JSO (Caldwell, 2010;Gerhold et al, 2007;Prentky & Righthand, 2003;Worling & Långström, 2006), we found a rather low base rate for sexual recidivism (3.0%). The small sub-sample of JSO with sexual re-offending decreased the statistical 19 power and hindered further attempts to validate and to improve risk assessment in JSO.…”

Section: Limitationssupporting

confidence: 74%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Predicting Sexual and Nonsexual Recidivism in a Consecutive Sample of Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offences

et al. 2011

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Reliable and valid risk assessments are essential for responding adequately to juveniles who have sexually offended (JSO). Given the lack of specific research focusing on the JSO population, the present study aims at confirming and expanding previous findings based on clinical samples dealing with risk assessments of JSO. The predictive power of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol (J-SOAP-II) and the Sexual Offence Severity (SOS) Scale are evaluated retrospectively by analyzing forensic, police, and judicial files in a consecutive sample of 223 adolescents (mean age of 15.7 years, SD = 2.1 years) who had been convicted of a sexual crime in the Canton of Zurich, Switzerland, between 2000 and 2008. Based on local official recidivism data (mean follow-up period = 4.3 years; SD = 2.5 years), univariate and multivariate predictions of sexual and nonsexual recidivism are tested by use of the J-SOAP-II and the SOS Scale in logistic regression and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analyses. Sexual recidivism (n = 7, 3.1%) is best predicted by a multivariate model, including the J-SOAP-II Adjustment Scale and the SOS Scale (ROC: Area under the curve [AUC] = .818). Nonsexual violent (n = 37, 16.6%) and general recidivism (n = 100, 44.8%) are only moderately predicted by the J-SOAP-II impulsive/antisocial behavior scale (AUC = .677 and .662, respectively). In conclusion, the J-SOAP-II adjustment scale, the J-SOAP-II impulsive/antisocial behavior scale, and the SOS Scale may be helpful for screening purposes in JSO, but additional risk assessment seems necessary. Overall, further research is necessary for a comprehensive understanding of risk factors in JSO. Behavior scale (AUC .677; AUC .662). In conclusion, the J-SOAP-II Adjustment scale, the J-SOAP-II Impulsive / Antisocial Behavior scale and the SOS scale may be helpful for screening purposes in JSO but additional risk assessment seems necessary. Overall, further research is necessary for a comprehensive understanding of risk factors in JSO.

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Section: General Findingssupporting

confidence: 93%

Section: General Findingssupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Limitationssupporting

confidence: 74%

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Predicting Sexual and Nonsexual Recidivism in a Consecutive Sample of Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offences

et al. 2011

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“…Consistent with many prior studies (e.g., Allan et al, 2003;Caldwell, 2010;Waite et al, 2005), rates of nonsexual recidivism were higher than rates of sexual recidivism in this study and several risk factors were associated with nonsexual recidivism. Although only one risk factor for sexual offending (opportunities to reoffend) was associated with sexual recidivism, we found that several risk factors for nonsexual reoffending were in fact related to nonsexual recidivism.…”

Section: Primary Findings: Nonsexual Reoffendingsupporting

confidence: 91%

Risk and Protective Factors for Recidivism Among Juveniles Who Have Offended Sexually

et al. 2012

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Literature on risk factors for recidivism among juveniles who have sexually offended (JSOs) is limited. In addition, there have been no studies published concerning protective factors among this population. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship of risk and protective factors to sexual and nonsexual recidivism among a sample of 193 male JSOs (mean age = 15.26). Youths were followed for an average of 7.24 years following discharge from a residential sex offender treatment program. The risk factor opportunities to reoffend, as coded based on the Estimate of Risk of Adolescent Sexual Offense Recidivism, was associated with sexual recidivism. Several risk factors (e.g., prior offending; peer delinquency) were associated with nonsexual recidivism. No protective factors examined were associated with sexual recidivism, although strong attachments and bonds as measured by the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth was negatively related to nonsexual recidivism. These findings indicate that risk factors for nonsexual recidivism may be consistent across both general adolescent offender populations and JSOs, but that there may be distinct protective factors that apply to sexual recidivism among JSOs. Results also indicate important needs for further research on risk factors, protective factors, and risk management strategies for JSOs.

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“…As much as 62 to 94 percent of JSO have also committed non-sexual crimes (Butler & Seto, 2002;Ronis & Borduin, 2007;Ryan et al, 1996) and JSO were more likely to exhibit nonsexual recidivism compared to sexual recidivism (Caldwell, 2007(Caldwell, , 2010Gerhold et al, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Offender Types and Criminality Dimensions in Male Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offenses

et al. 2011

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Cornelia (2012By analyzing nine offender characteristics, four victim characteristics and six offense characteristics, the best evidence was found for the victim age based type. The co-offender status and the crime history types were less well supported. However, all three types were related to each other and did not provide a comprehensive characterization of JSO. Therefore, an additional principal component analyses was performed searching for basic dimensions of juvenile sexual delinquency and leading to the following factors: "single offender with severe molestation of a related child", "persistent general delinquent with migrant background", "older offender with alcohol use and familial constraints", "multiple and aggressive offender with social adversities" and "offender with unselected and multiple victims". These five dimensions reflect different relevant factors of sexual offending behavior in male juveniles and may have further impact on forensic and clinical practice.

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Study Characteristics and Recidivism Base Rates in Juvenile Sex Offender Recidivism

Cited by 157 publications

References 58 publications

Predicting Sexual and Nonsexual Recidivism in a Consecutive Sample of Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offences

Predicting Sexual and Nonsexual Recidivism in a Consecutive Sample of Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offences

Risk and Protective Factors for Recidivism Among Juveniles Who Have Offended Sexually

Offender Types and Criminality Dimensions in Male Juveniles Convicted of Sexual Offenses

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